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VIETNAM2003

‘Free’ trade with U.S. can be fishy business, aquaculture industry finds

A catfish no more: U.S. legislation says this fish has to change its name for immigration purposes.
Courtesy VASEP
Catfish farming on a houseboat anchored in the Mekong: The fish are reared in cages underneath.
Photo by Thomas Jandl
Vietnam’s catfish industry benefits from plenty of free natural resources.
Photo by Thomas Jandl
Volume and total value of U.S. catfish imports from Vietnam
1999
Vol: 3.3 million kilos
Value: $13.4 million
2000
Vol: 8.6 million kilos
Value: $30.0 million
2001
Vol:13.5 million kilos
Value: $38.2 million
2002
Vol: 18.3 million kilos
Value $55.1 million

Fish and shrimp play a central role in Vietnam’s export-led economic growth and poverty alleviation policy. The aquaculture sector ranks third among the country’s leading staples, after crude oil and garments and textiles, but ahead of footwear and rice. Sales of aquatic products in 2002 topped $1.5 billion.

In 2001, Vietnam exported 13,500 tons of frozen catfish fillets to the U.S. market, worth a total of $38 million. These numbers increased to 18,300 tons and $55 million in 2002.

In addition, $467 million worth of shrimp made their way across the Pacific from Vietnam, making Vietnam the sixth-largest supplier to the United States, with China and Thailand in the lead.

Catfish was first exported to the United States presumably even before the embargo was lifted in 1995, through a middleman to serve the Vietnamese American community, says Dr. Nguyen Huu Dung, general secretary of the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP). “But the boom started in 1999, when raw seafood tariffs dropped to zero.”

Vietnamese catfish is produced to U.S. standards and regularly undergoes quality controls by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), says Dung.

So it didn’t even harm the Vietnamese trade when a U.S. Senator spread the rumor that Vietnamese catfish was contaminated with Agent Orange, a toxin sprayed onto Vietnam by the U.S. military during the war. “They checked and found nothing, of course,” says Ngo Phuoc Hau, the general director of Agifish, the leading exporter to the United States, and vice president of VASEP.

So the U.S. industry, feeling threatened by the new competitor, began to take the backdoor to market competition – protectionist legislation. Driven by the U.S. catfish industry in the South, Congress passed an obscure amendment to an unrelated Bill making it unlawful to call a catfish a catfish unless it is an American catfish.

While this legislation was enacted, the United States was supporting a trade action before the World Trade Organization denouncing European protectionism on sardines. The European breach of free trade rules: legislation preventing sardines not caught in the Mediterranean from being called sardines.

When the hypocrisy in this position was pointed out to the U.S. Administration, it withdrew its support from the sardines case.

So the Vietnamese grumbled and renamed their product basa and tra, basically the local names for the subspecies of catfish. There are 2,500 subspecies in the catfish family, and experts are in agreement that the Vietnamese catfish are just as much members of the family as the American version.

It’s flavor and price, stupid

To the horror of the American producers, it turned out that the consumers did not care about the name, but about quality, flavor and price. “During the first three months it was difficult,” says Hau, but then the price, the flavor and the odor won the customers back.” The odor of fish raised in free-flowing water is considered better, and the price of Vietnamese catfish – basa, to avoid potential lawsuits – is lower than the American competition’s. So the market recovered fast.

The United States and Vietnam are the two only large catfish producers, and although the U.S. Department of Agriculture has an export promotion program (talk about free market!), U.S. catfish did not meet with much success internationally, says VASEP’s Dung.

The United States does not produce catfish under optimal conditions. U.S. farmers use pumped groundwater, which produces a lower quality fish and makes production more costly, says Dung.

But the U.S. industry did not give up. In another blow to the Vietnamese hope for free trade in a product where Vietnam has a clear competitive advantage, the industry filed complaints against Vietnam under anti-dumping provisions.

The charge of dumping, any number of people with knowledge of the Vietnamese economy will tell, is unrealistic. Vice Prime Minister Vu Khoan sums it up when he says that Vietnam could probably dump one load of fish into the United States market, but there is just no money to do so for an extended period.

Others chime in along the same lines. Chanh Truong, the country representative for U.S. agro giant Cargill, which has the largest share of fish feed in the Vietnamese market, making 3,000 tons of it in Ho Chi Minh City per year, says: “Since the feed is sold by a U.S. company, I can tell you there is no underpricing here.” Cargill also sent a letter of support of the Vietnamese position to the Department of Commerce in the dumping case.

Adam Sitkoff, the executive director of the American Chamber of Commerce agrees, and sees the potential fallout for trade relations: “Catfish has been seen as the big guy picking on the little guy. That has fueled the fire. But there is no dumping here. Labor is cheap, inputs are cheap.” But he adds that U.S. companies did only what they are allowed to do under the law. The Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) did not override domestic legislation on anti-dumping or protectionist laws regulating product standard rules, such as those forbidding the use of specific names for fish.

Lack of sensitivity

“People and businesses here always thought that America was the champion of free trade,” says Pham Chi Lan, executive vice president of the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry. She says farmers could not understand that the United States would raise barriers against Vietnamese products. They feel it is very unfair that a country with per capita income 100 times that of Vietnam could do this to poor farmers.

But she realizes that this is not only done to Vietnam. Whenever even a small number of U.S. businesses are impacted by foreign imports, she says, the legislature tries to raise barriers. So the chamber advises businesses that this is not just about Vietnam, but a general problem and that negotiations are needed. “We also advise them to diversify and find as many partners as possible.” Vietnam now exports catfish to Europe, Japan and Australia.

And the very pragmatic vice chairman of the Ho Chi Minh City People’s Committee – roughly the equivalent of a vice mayor – realizes that “no producer likes imports, no consumer likes exports — they drive domestic price levels up. But we have to learn to live with contradictions.”

Nevertheless, the Vietnamese side is unhappy about the lack of care with which the Commerce Department has calculated production cost. “The Department of Commerce established that Vietnam is not a market economy,” says Hau. “Then they took prices for catfish in India and Bangladesh as surrogates for our prices. But they used retail prices to establish a ‘reasonable’ wholesale price!”

The Commerce Department has since had to revise its initially imposed tariffs of up to 64% due to a simple mathematical error, and the Vietnamese are hopeful that this embarrassment will force the American side to be extra careful not to do anything equally careless when the Department returns to take a second look. Hau says that if Commerce Department takes the time to start from the beginning of the process and calculates prices up the production chain, the truth will emerge and a clean bill of health provided to the industry in Vietnam.

Next target shrimp

With catfish already hard hit by protectionism and anti-dumping legislation, shrimp farmers are bracing for a suit as well. More than $400 million worth of Vietnamese shrimp went to the United States last year, making the market worth almost 10 times that of catfish, and the issue proportionally more dramatic for a poor country like Vietnam.

Earlier this year, Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, sponsored a bill that would restrict shrimp imports from a number of countries, including Vietnam. In addition, the Southern Shrimp Alliance has hired the Washington law firm of Dewey Ballantine to initiate a preliminary investigation to bring a trade action against various countries, and Vietnam fears it will end up on the target list.

Vietnam’s Foreign Ministry called the bill, H.R.5578, “nothing but a protectionist move inconsistent with the BTA spirit and detrimental to the desires … of the two peoples, especially American consumers.”

Shrimp is even more important for Vietnam than catfish. On the other hand, the United States imports large amounts of shrimp, and tariffs would have a more pronounced impact on end user prices, thus angering consumers and restaurants. Therefore shrimp tariffs would run into more domestic opposition than legislation against catfish imports.

Another problem the United States may face in a broad-based, multi-country shrimp suit is that the suit is likely to end up before the World Trade Organization (WTO). Since Vietnam is not yet a member, the United States could impose tariffs on Vietnam, but if the WTO ruled against the U.S. position with regards to WTO members states named in the suit, the U.S. position would become morally difficult to defend, especially since the United States has preached the beauties of the free market to Vietnam and other communist countries for so long.

Vietnam calls the trade action “a move running counter to the trade liberalization spirit being upheld by the United States.”

Business must go on

In spite of the trade row, Vietnam’s master plan for the catfish sector development in the Mekong continues to call for a doubling in production by 2005 to a total harvest worth $3 billion, and shrimping obviously continues as always. Of particular importance to assure growth in exports in both industries are continued improvements in breeding and farming techniques, food safety and hygiene and overall product quality.

Another key strategy pushed by the Ministry of Fisheries is product diversification, to avoid dependence on any one particular product and market.

But implementation of the plan depends on finding an accommodation with the United States. To find a negotiated solution on catfish, VASEP proposed a transitional period during which Vietnam would accept an export quota on frozen fillets while the U.S. producers shape up and adjust to the tougher international competition. That compromise would limit Vietnam’s exports to 90% of 2002-levels in 2003, 95% in 2004 and 100% in 2005. Thereafter, no limitations would apply.

The Catfish Farmers of America, however, said that the quotas were too high and demanded lower import levels.

If negotiations fail, the impact would be harshest on the poorest segment of the population. Catfish farming and shrimping are most popular in the poorest parts of the country, where due to flooding and saline soils other forms of agriculture are less productive.

When the catfish and shrimp booms began, many already poor farmers sold or mortgaged their land to buy fish cages or dig drenches and ponds for shrimp. These farmers face ruin if their investment in fish or shrimp farming fails to produce enough income to repay the loans. And many of them have no farm to go back to if the promise of the American free market fails to deliver.

Ultimately, says the Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Lan, the solution to the problem is WTO accession. Once a member, disputes like these would be internationalized and international rules would override U.S. law, depriving powerful U.S. special interest of the ability to legislate foreign competition out of a fair deal.

 


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